Identifying Player Leaks

Intermediate

Definition

A leak is a consistent mistake in a player's strategy that costs them money. Identifying leaks allows you to exploit them for profit.

Find the pattern, exploit the pattern, profit from the pattern

Major Leak Categories

Leak Type Description Exploit
Folds too much Gives up easily Bluff more
Calls too much Can't fold Value bet more
Too aggressive Bets/raises too often Trap and call down
Too passive Checks/calls too much Value bet thin, bluff less

Quick Identification Guide

Preflop Leaks

Observation Leak Notes
Plays 40%+ hands Too loose Plays junk
Plays <15% hands Too tight Only premiums
Never 3-bets Passive preflop Easy to outplay
3-bets 15%+ Too aggressive Trap with premiums

Postflop Leaks

Observation Leak Notes
Folds to 70%+ c-bets Overfolder Bluff flops
Never folds to c-bet Calling station Don't bluff, value bet
Bets every street Overbluffer Call down light
Only bets with value Passive/honest Fold to bets

Key Stats to Watch (HUD or Notes)

Stat Optimal Range Too Low Too High
VPIP 22-28% Nit Fish
PFR 18-24% Passive Maniac
3-Bet 6-10% Never bluffs Overbluffs
Fold to C-Bet 40-50% Station Overfolder
WTSD 25-30% Folds too much Calls too much

Behavioral Tells

Behavior Possible Leak
Snap calls Draws or marginal made hands
Long tanks then calls Borderline calls (weak)
Min-bets often Weak/scared money
Overbets frequently Polarized or bluff-heavy

Building Opponent Profiles

Take notes during sessions:

Info to Record Why
Showdown hands See what they play
Unusual lines Remember deviations
Bet sizing patterns Sizing tells
Reaction to pressure Fold or fight?

Key Takeaway

Leaks are patterns that cost money. Look for extremes—too tight, too loose, too aggressive, too passive. The bigger the leak, the more you can exploit. Always observe, always take notes.

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